viernes, 11 de abril de 2014

Trading with Ichimoku kinko hyo (II)

Ichimoku Cloud Trading Strategy

Chartists use the actual cloud to identify the overall trend and establish a trading bias. Once a trading bias is established, chartist will wait for a correction when prices cross the Base Line (red line). An actual signal triggers when prices cross the Conversion Line (blue line) to signal an end to the correction.
This trading strategy will set three criteria for a bullish signal. First, the trading bias is bullish when prices are above the lowest line of the cloud. In other words, prices are either above the cloud or remain above cloud support. Second, price moves below the Base Line to signal a pullback and improve the risk-reward ratio for new long positions. Third, a bullish signal triggers when prices reverse and move above the Conversion Line.
As you can see, the three criteria will not be met in just one day. There is a pecking order to the process. First, the trend is bullish as defined by the cloud. Second, the stock pulls back with a move below the Base Line. Third, the stock turns back up with a move above the Conversion Line.

Buy Signal Recap:
  • Price is above the lowest line of the cloud (bullish bias)
  • Price moves below the Base Line (pullback)
  • Price Moves above the Conversion Line (up turn)
ichimoku
Ichimoku BUY signal
 
There are also three criteria for a bearish signal. First, the trading bias is bearish when prices are below the highest line of the cloud. This means price is either below the cloud or has yet to break above cloud resistance. Second, price moves above the Base Line to signal a bounce within a bigger downtrend. Third, a bearish signal triggers when prices reverse and move below the Conversion Line.
 
Sell Signal Recap:
  • Price is below the highest line of the cloud (bearish bias)
  • Price moves above the Base Line (bounce)
  • Price moves below the Conversion Line (down turn)
ichimoku
Ichimoku SELL signal

(by stockcharts.com/school) 

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